George Washington
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 79.9050Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3-13, 67.8) 22- 7 210 H William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 14- 8 218 H American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 15-10 221 A Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 17- 7 225 A Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 8-11 228 H UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 8-20 306 A Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 13- 7 311 N Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 15-13 314 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 17- 3 318 A St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 9-15 321 H Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 10-11 327 H VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 10-16 404 A George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 12- 9 411 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 6-19 418 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 19- 8 425 A St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 4-15 430 N St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 8-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Howard (DC) 22- 7 15 14 0.49
210 H William & Mary 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.61
218 H American 15-10 5 2 + 2.56
221 A Radford 17- 7 10 7 + 2.79
225 A Mount St Marys 8-11 -3 -3 0.10
228 H UNC-Charlotte 8-20 -12 2 --- -14.39
306 A Rhode Island 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.92
311 N Lafayette 15-13 2 1 1.19
314 H La Salle 17- 3 14 10 ++ 4.36
318 A St Josephs (PA) 9-15 -6 -5 -0.93
321 H Davidson 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.31
327 H VCU 10-16 -6 -2 -- -4.07
404 A George Mason 12- 9 3 3 0.44
411 A Richmond 6-19 -13 -11 -1.56
418 H Duquesne 19- 8 11 8 + 2.83
425 A St Bonaventure 4-15 -11 -4 --- -7.14
430 N St Bonaventure 8-10 -2 -2 0.49
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H UNC-Charlotte 8-20 -12 2 --- -14.39 425 A St Bonaventure 4-15 -11 -4 --- -7.14 327 H VCU 10-16 -6 -2 -- -4.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H William & Mary 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.61 306 A Rhode Island 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.92 314 H La Salle 17- 3 14 10 ++ 4.36 218 H American 15-10 5 2 + 2.56 221 A Radford 17- 7 10 7 + 2.79 321 H Davidson 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.31 418 H Duquesne 19- 8 11 8 + 2.83 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Howard (DC) ( 3-13, 67.8) 22- 7 -32.13 8.03 -1.37 1.02 13.58
3 H William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 14- 8 -20.02 20.15 -1.37 1.02 38.28
3 H American ( 4-12, 78.8) 15-10 -21.06 19.11 -1.37 1.02 36.15
3 A Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 17- 7 -28.57 11.60 1.37 1.02 26.43
3 A Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 8-11 -18.26 21.91 1.37 1.02 -8.61
3 H UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 8-20 -21.02 19.15 -1.37 1.02 -11.41
3 A Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 13- 7 -21.45 18.72 1.37 1.02 40.94
3 N Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 15-13 -20.80 19.36 -0.00 1.02 39.46
3 H La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 17- 3 -28.27 11.90 -1.37 1.02 21.46
3 A St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 9-15 -16.29 23.88 1.37 1.02 -7.60
3 H Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 10-11 -15.32 24.85 -1.37 1.02 -8.50
3 H VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 10-16 -16.70 23.47 -1.37 1.02 -9.20
3 A George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 12- 9 -23.93 16.24 1.37 1.02 35.89
3 A Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 6-19 -9.93 30.24 1.37 1.02 -4.36
3 H Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 19- 8 -26.79 13.37 -1.37 1.02 24.47
3 A St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 4-15 -17.51 22.66 1.37 1.02 -8.22
3 N St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 8-10 -17.51 22.66 -0.00 1.02 -8.92
------
209.85
|
winning pts = 276.6729 losing points = -66.8268
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------